← Back to fixtures

Ein Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen

Fri 04 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC · Round 12 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Ein Frankfurt win: 52.3%

Draw: 23.0%

Werder Bremen win: 24.8%

Predicted: Ein Frankfurt

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 61.0%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 59.9%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.68

More corners: Ein Frankfurt (62.2% home / 37.8% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Ein Frankfurt

Yes

Probability Ein Frankfurt wins or draws: 66.5%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Ein Frankfurt Clearest lean of the available outcomes (52% vs next-best 25%). (52.0% model probability) Medium

Both Teams to Score Yes (61.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (60.0% model probability) High

Corners Ein Frankfurt (more corners) (62.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Ein Frankfurt win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (66.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.